NNT ® 20-Фев-2015 18:21

Responding to Capability Surprise: A Strategy for U.S. Naval Forces


Year: 2013
Language: english
Author: National Academy of Sciences and the Department of the Navy
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences and the Department of the Navy
ISBN: 0-309-27837-6
Format: PDF
Quality: eBook
Pages count: 203
Description: A letter dated December 21, 2011, to National Academy of Sciences President Ralph Cicerone from the Chief of Naval Operations, ADM Jonathan W.
Greenert, USN, requested that the National Research Council’s (NRC’s) Naval Studies Board (NSB) conduct a study to examine the issues surrounding “capability surprise,” both operational and technical, facing the U.S. naval services. Accordingly, in February 2012, the NRC, under the auspices of its NSB, established the Committee on Capability Surprise on U.S. Naval Forces.
This committee has found that addressing surprise as it might impact U.S. naval forces is a complex subject with multiple dimensions, including time, mission and cross-mission domains, anticipation of enabling technologies, physical phenomena, and new tactics that can enable surprise. Surprises may come over timescales ranging from seconds to minutes in a complex engagement; alternatively, time may be seen as a cause of evolving, breakthrough surprise that has been secretly developed over decades. Missions such as air defense and undersea warfare, which U.S. naval forces conduct in the open ocean and the littoral regions, all have myriad entry points from which capability surprises can originate (land, air, space, and cyberspace). There are also accelerating new technological advancements globally, which again, singly or in combination, can constitute the basis of a capability surprise.

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