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Alternative Futures in Cyber Security - U.S. Coast Guard, Ventus Executive Solutions LLC [2016, PDF]
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The time now is: Today 22:04 All times are GMT + 3 Hours |
Alternative Futures in Cyber Security
Language: english
Author: U.S. Coast Guard, Ventus Executive Solutions LLC
Genre: Handbook
Format: PDF
Quality: eBook
Number of pages: 56
Description: A combined team from the Evergreen Office and Ventus Solutions (VES) conducted a project that examined
future cyber challenges for the U.S. Coast Guard (USCG) and identified strategic cyber needs of the U.S. Coast
Guard (USCG) in the 2025 time frame.
Following rigorous research and analysis using scenario-based planning methods, the team identified twelve
key forces driving future uncertainty for the USCG. The Evergreen/VES team then leveraged details from the twelve
variables to build four worlds: Band of Brothers, Cybergeddon, Rise of the Geeks, and Hedgehog.
In a subsequent workshop, four teams examined each alternative future to identify key areas of leadership
focus or emphasis for Coast Guard consideration. These areas of emphasis—called Key Success Factors (KSFs)—
are designed to enable the Coast Guard to continue to perform above peer organizations. VES provided a number
of methodologies and algorithms to both weight output from each team and to aid in selecting a temporal strategy
for possible implementation.
Contents
1 TABLE OF CONTENTS2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
3 BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE 2
4 EVERGREEN PROCESS 3
4.1 SCHOEMAKER METHOD 3
4.2 OVERALL PROJECT PROCESS 4
4.3 UNCERTAINTIES ARE KEY 6
4.4 STRATEGIC SEGMENTATION 6
4.5 KEY SUCCESS FACTORS 7
5 ANALYSIS AND RESULTS 7
5.1 BACKGROUND RESEARCH 8
5.2 TREND AND UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS 8
5.3 ALTERNATIVE FUTURES 12
5.4 HEADLINES 15
5.5 STRATEGIC SEGMENTATION 20
5.6 WORKSHOP AND DEVELOPMENT OF KSFS 22
5.7 WORKSHOP OUTPUT AND CONCLUSIONS 22
6 COMPARISON OF RESULTS WITH COAST GUARD STRATEGIC DOCUMENTS 27
7 CONCLUSIONS 28
APPENDIX A: LIST OF PEOPLE INTERVIEWED FOR BACKGROUND RESEARCH 29
APPENDIX B: RED CELL AND BLUE CELL ATTENDEES 30
APPENDIX C: FOUR SCEANARIOS 31
APPENDIX D: KEY SUCCESS FACTORS AND DEFINITIONS 47
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USCG Cyber Futures Report.pdf
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